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Momentum & Market Clarity: The Signals Driving Today’s Market
Q1 2026 Stowe Area Real Estate Market Report
The first quarter of 2026 opened with a market that continues to feel measured but stable. While days on market have generally been higher than the ultra-compressed “COVID-era” pace, DOM now appears to be leveling off, and most importantly, median days on market remain relatively low, signaling that well-positioned properties are still finding buyers in a reasonable timeframe. This steadier rhythm is creating clearer opportunities for buyers in select segments, while sellers continue to be rewarded when pricing and presentation align with market expectations. Across our market, the “right” listings, those aligned on price, condition, and presentation, continue to perform best.
Stowe Market Overview: Real Estate Sales in Stowe, VT
Single-Family Home Sales: Stowe, VT
Stowe’s single-family market strengthened in Q1 2026, with sales up 18.18% and new listings up 69.23%, giving buyers materially more selection than last year. Pricing moved higher as well, with the average sold price up 54.64% and the median sold price up 17.87% year-over-year. Some of this gain can be attributed to an auction sale over $7 mln for a home that has been on and off the market for more than 15 years.
In real numbers, the average sales price was $2.081M+, and the median was $1.385M+, reinforcing continued depth at the upper end of the Stowe market. Days on market (DOM) improved versus last year, average DOM down 35.05% and median DOM down 47.96%, landing at 63 average DOM and 51 median DOM. The list-to-sell ratio increased 5.33%, underscoring that well-priced, well-presented homes are still converting strongly.
Condo Sales: Stowe, VT
Stowe condos posted a different mix: sales declined 26.92%, even as new listings rose 36.67%, expanding buyer choice. Pricing lifted sharply on a year-over-year basis, with the average sold price up 48.45% and the median sold price up 136.84%, a sign that the quarter included a higher concentration of premium sales.
For Q1 2026, the average condo sales price was $1.42M+, and the median was $770,000. Time on market ran longer than last year. Average DOM up 104.08% and median DOM up 223.53%, yet the median DOM of 27 days remains relatively low. This aligns with what we’re seeing across the region: the right condos (condition, location, pricing) still draw decisive buyers. The list-to-sell ratio dipped 3.62%, suggesting a bit more negotiation leverage for buyers than in prior periods.
Lamoille County Market Overview — Real Estate Sales in Lamoille County, VT
Single-Family Home Sales: Lamoille County, VT (Excluding Stowe)
In the more value-oriented towns outside Stowe, the single-family market continues to offer comparatively more attainable pricing, one reason this segment remains especially appealing for buyers. Excluding Stowe, 25 single-family homes sold in Lamoille County in Q1 2026, with an average sales price of $562,812 and a median sales price of $449,000. Homes are taking a bit longer on average, with average DOM at 66 days, while the median DOM remains relatively low at 45 days, supporting the broader theme that DOM has increased from historical lows but appears to be stabilizing.
From a volume and inventory perspective, excluding Stowe, sales declined from 31 to 25 year over year, and new listings fell from 40 to 35.
Countywide (including Stowe), single-family indicators: sales were down 9.52%, while pricing moved higher, with the average sold price up 59.91% and the median sold price up 61.80%. New listings increased 16.28%, average DOM increased by 22%, and the list-to-sell ratio strengthened slightly (up 1.64%). Across Lamoille County, performance was highly town-specific. Morristown showed steadier demand with higher pricing and a faster median pace, while Hyde Park, Johnson, and Cambridge saw meaningful price gains but wider variation in absorption as median days on market increased.
Local highlights (Single-Family, YoY):
- Morristown: Sales down 22% (7 vs 9), new listings up 10% (11 vs 10), median price up 6% to $530K, median DOM down 58% to 29 days.
- Hyde Park: Sales down 75% (2 vs 8), new listings down 50% (4 vs 8), median price up 9.88% to $440K, median DOM up 22% to 60 days.
- Johnson: Sales up 133% (7 vs 3), new listings down 40% (3 vs 5), median price up 92% to $345K, median DOM up 389% to 137 days.
- Cambridge: Sales down 33% (4 vs 6), new listings down 13% (7 vs 8), median price up 51% to $548K, median DOM up 79% to 61 days.
View the Lamoille County Stats Here
Waterbury Market Overview — Real Estate Sales in Waterbury, VT
Waterbury remains highly sought after for its livability and access, and Q1 2026 reflected a market with more selection but fewer closings year over year. Sales declined by 42.86%, while new listings increased by 14.29%, giving buyers more options than last winter.
Pricing moderated in this quarter. The average sales price declined 11.47%, and the median sales price declined 7.90% year over year. In real numbers, the average sales price was $642,000, and the median was $548,000.
Days on market improved meaningfully. Average DOM declined 38.75% to 49 days, and median DOM declined 49.09% to 28 days, reinforcing that when a home enters the market with a clear value proposition, buyers are still capable of acting decisively.
Q1 2026 Summary
Across Stowe, Lamoille County, and Waterbury, Q1 2026 reinforces a market that’s more balanced and deliberate, but still responsive to quality. Days on market may be higher than the most competitive years, yet it appears to be stabilizing, and the consistently low median DOM across segments is the clearest indicator that properly positioned properties retain strong interest. Buyers are benefiting from more choice in certain categories, while sellers who price strategically and present well continue to see strong outcomes.
If you’d like a tailored interpretation of what these trends mean for your property, or a strategy for buying or selling in 2026, reach out anytime. We’re happy to share a pricing perspective, a market positioning plan, or a custom search strategy based on your goals
